Those IMF bureaucrats completed their weighty meeting last week in Washington and though much of the hand wringing centered on Deutsche Bank's problems, here' one of the take aways you want to note.
U.S. bankers attending the IIF meeting were far more upbeat than their European counterparts.
JPMorgan
Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, Morgan Stanley head James Gorman and Citigroup
boss Michael Corbat, did their version of the "Three Amigos," taking to
the stage together to talk up the strength of the U.S. consumer and
their own roles in the global economy.
In
a separate session, Goldman Sachs Group President Gary Cohn said the
U.S. banking system was in the "best shape it has ever, ever been by
far."
Like
their European rivals, many U.S. banks are struggling to get
shareholder returns above their cost of capital, but they are making
more progress because they wrote off larger portions of their bad loans
earlier – enabling them to return to growth more quickly – and most of
their crisis-era litigation costs are behind them. The U.S. economy is
also improving at a faster clip than Europe.
You should note the part about they wrote off "larger portions of their bad loans earlier--enabling them to return to growth more quickly--and most of their crisis-era limitation costs are behind them."
What this really translates into is they can get back to business as usual and repeat the whole mess over again. Just remember bail-ins or bail-outs costs everybody, not just shareholders. Recall too that white collar crime always gets off easier than the blue collar stuff.
Britain's
vote to exit the European Union, known as "Brexit," is another headwind
facing international banks, with the UK financial industry risking a
loss of up to 38 billion pounds ($48.34 billion) in revenue if the
country has only limited access to the European Union's single market,
according to one study.
"The big winner for Brexit will be New York; you'll see more business moving to New York," Gorman said at the IIF meeting.
The
competition from technology companies in banks' traditional markets,
such as lending and payments, has also ramped up the pressure to change. In
the pre-crisis days, banks would have merged to cut costs, but
regulators are now much less in favor of allowing the creation of big,
cross-border lenders which could disrupt markets if they got into
trouble.
If New York will be, as is suggested here, the big winner, why are these Wall Street bankers, including Dimon, crying so loudly about Brexit? Voltaire suggested following bankers if you see one jumping out of a window because there's most likely a profit in it Today, anytime you a banker approaching, you need to watch your wallet closely.
The term these elitists use for game changer, and it's a premeditated pejorative, is populism.
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