Sunday, October 9, 2016

Beware Of Experts Not CC

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sLTbVcDBJ6kt38ICFSdVn/MaYsYM+iSxOJcZAIAPCAmMuo6SS824wYHQErdBvY1pfHxOcONh+P6J+g5pEiT+m6UbjKIHxX6cP1RKeKozZoAiRbcJGMqHKrDFgJ4Wn0QRVe2RAkRYED7K1LMKelwEzBN/t+iSqYsaRaZ7CeItv3QGbQ8cdAix8JjzSeIJe+7yxsbQZJ5fqs4OgyLd1D6pJkkkrIVs1nZWZkVeFhuf32Qyyo10F7D6FIU6hHFELpubrWzaN/L6jtUG8+ELm/aURVcnssfFVm93Aedkj7VVB70wuefY96MNxQwvOeqhyVCMZpBbWSQ1xcQTyWNh1rULJ/YYj2ZYjUOQ5GD+C5ysYB9FqvZq+qPFLVcEDv5grqg1VE5ptmZQqELVy7FQ4eO3DkkquF03BV8Cwmowf6h907ToRaZ3GaOHuwDYQJXBY83K7TPKgDDdcJjal15MncjtfQo8qG7qj3XVqO6dIkzUwxtCHWCJTsFSuU8lQE7QqQo0oigrIDPNWrg8WGNvH5pJ2CqNGpzYHIwD/aboVZ2y68K+kpOjb/mg4aZ6yLIwx7XCzSOoII63XLl6gVYuDddHBC+RnWMIOzp7q8GP1K5ajjyDJv3Wjh85ZxlvqErgxlNDGJxzmOc1sATsGiLbIDMc36ge1vvKz8Y+XExEoIeqqCom5uzcwo96YaNrmSLDx4oLjeDtKQoVoM37JoC0i46X8+SSUaGUrCinOxnurAOF/SUBjlsYfASA6xkAxG3cKbf0ZRvoz214N0apip4rR/haZ4D9UOplTTsQPM/iptobixA1VAemqmUOGzgfMJaphHt3ae10DVIsHK09UrcdFDndUkhkaWWVYrU5P1t+6zfaxxbWdyP7hFyV/vKrSDZhDnHgNN4PWYCB7Rt3LnC5kcOdz+wuWc90iqX6mKaykVUqHHmtnKsmqPb7xzDpPyzAnjqE7hUjFyYjZbAOlaNSqeHBLDBvbcMcI3Om3nsl31nG32V1glYnkSQw7FlCdi3c/QJYtKgyuqOOKIubDGueamliHNIINwZ2CVLl4PVVFCcmbeMzf3jRqsQL8uy5/FVbwje8CQxdjPBed+R+NwfKPR0wy8tM843RsLuEOlQlocTE8ImyNQZpMk9oQhglp0aU0a3ubSUEUXOnS1xgSYBMDqgnGOPGFehjXN2cY8bLongchFkSB0W6nBsxLgJ5SYla+YVW0qn+EwNLbAlsnaJk8bquExbC4F7GkzM6RMjqozRzHOLmze90uLFxl+wZztaEX4wky4A+Y+xQq9Rh+l3d36KtZ0GCCDyIhDJBXZxRDkyQKcXDgehBHlCGWNmx81DgFUpqBZc0FLaCr7wxYotOrO4QCRVJPj4o+XZc+of6WSQXnaQJgcz0S+67TLmMpUtLnA/VDoEBw5bgfmlyT4rQ0I8ns42pSIcWiXeA3HOBsi03FpAcCNuEEdbrpcVnVOmIpgHjDYDem265vGVjUdqfutGTl2jSil0x+nRa50BziTYQyZPYoop6XEGoBHnPIwYHcoeU4wUg4tEuIhscOdknULnE/CZJJIDTuUnjtjcqQ+KTiYDhHMmB53Hqn8DVPylw8ZHbqud0O4tK9TqlvPuPzWeFGWSjtqeHnryRBgjubfvxXK4fMqpApipoHDcdpF0zh8TWbb3hPSdXobhQlikiyyJj+Z1Wtpuc1vvHCwBBAne5Owtuud/nBGkkNBIn4GtgCSI1OvNitp2Kc6W1PlPCPuN0nivZ5lS7Kn/G4HkBPooyxyvfQ3L4I4b2gLg7S6IJBM6jPLkOCzcbjNbtRbqJteT+O616Psm8NgOY1vAAP573G/ibrRy/2Yp0zqqTVduBsyRtIBk9yAp+Jeg22Tlnsuym1rqjQ99iQ4xTaTfTH1EbXnwWnXzVgJDpkch+MpLMsTUeb6gPK/QLHrMdxB8l148SrZKWRro1cdmrXy2Do5czz39FmPxDQNLBE7kgEnvw7JJ71QvKusaRFzbD03T2Q6rYO8obSVWoSqUJZSs5B1KXk8lTSiAI0ypeVVqZw+BqVAS1thu4kATykm56Ia9jK/Qqx1o2RxUsVQYcTcp7B5XUqCWMDWH6nkNB8CbntKXSf8NTZnE3U6lo4jLGMFqoc7owgDuTPeEhXwrhtdOpJgaaPMqo7MRzSEHkrteRwQkgbGMRUvzQDVVKrp5oRJ5LRAwxeqOegknkVUk8imoAUVUxh8cB8wkeR7FZ5J5FVgrNBTZ//9k=
Here's a follow up on our another-melting-iceberg article.

To begin with, there are no experts, only those whose egos claim such. Trusting so-called experts can be dangerous to your health and your pocketbook. In fact, whenever you find yourself in a weak moment about to trust the experts, think central bankers. That will save you plenty of money on anti-depressants.

Much of the global friction today centers on those elitists who want the rest of us to just shut up and do what they tell us, not too different from being a child and one's parents told us to do it because, no questions, no nothing. Just because we say so.

That's the definition of elitism.

We've stated for a long time the reason for the name-change to climate change was no accident. It's just another form of making your fishing net larger. Global warming was too specific. The climate freaks needed a more abstract term. Climate change fit the bill nicely, making man responsible for everything that happens on the planet. What better way to further control human behavior.
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Dire predictions that the Arctic would be devoid of sea ice by September this year have proven to be unfounded after latest satellite images showed there is far more now than in 2012.
Scientists such as Prof Peter Wadhams, of Cambridge University, and Prof Wieslaw Maslowski, of the Naval Postgraduate School in Moderey, California, have regularly forecast the loss of ice by 2016, which has been widely reported by the BBC and other media outlets.
Prof Wadhams, a leading expert on Arctic sea ice loss, has recently published a book entitled A Farewell To Ice in which he repeats the assertion that the polar region would free of ice in the middle of this decade.
As late as this summer, he was still predicting an ice-free September.
Yet, when figures were released for the yearly minimum on September 10, they showed that there was still 1.6 million square miles of sea ice (4.14 square kilometres), which was 21 per cent more than the lowest point in 2012.
It is the latest example of experts making alarming predictions which do not come to pass. Earlier this week environmentalists were accused of misleading the public about the "Great Pacific Garbage Patch" after aerial shots proved there was no "island of rubbish" in the middle of the ocean. Likewise, warnings that the hole in the ozone layer would never close were debunked in June.

Scientists warn that such claims risk detracting from the real issue. Losing Arctic sea ice is a major problem because ice reflects up to 70 per cent of sunlight, while open water reflects just 10 per cent, meaning the rest is absorbed by the planet, which speeds up global warming. A massive melt of freshwater could also disrupt global ocean currents and change weather systems.
       
For more than a decade, most scientists have accepted that the Arctic will be free ice-free by 2050, while the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) calculates there is a 66 per cent chance of no ice by the middle of the century if emissions continue to increase annually.
Yet in 2007, Prof Wadhams predicted that sea ice would be lost by 2013 after levels fell 27 per cent in a single year. However, by 2013, ice levels were actually 25 per cent higher than they had been six years before. In 2012, following another record low, Prof Wadhams changed his prediction to 2016.

The view was supported by Prof Maslowski, who in 2013 published a paper in the Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences also claiming that the Arctic would be ice-free by 2016, plus or minus three years.

However, far from record lows, this year the Arctic has seen the quickest refreeze ever recorded with the extent of sea ice growing 405,000 square miles (1.05 million square kilometres)  in just three weeks since the September 10 minimum.  The Danish Meteorological Institute said that refreezing is happening at the fastest rate since its daily records began in 1987.
More: 
telegraph.co.uk/science/2016/10/07/experts-said-arctic-sea-ice-would-melt-entirely-by-september-20.

There is more here and you should read it all before forming your opinion, but beware of alarming so-called experts. Recall even broken clocks can be right twice a day.       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
   


   
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
 
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
   



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