Sunday, December 13, 2015

DEJA VU

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
When we view a tree what we obviously see is that part above ground. But in many trees the roots and tentacles below ground are often longer and cover a wider space than that the tree is tall.

Now that default season in the high yield bond market has been kicked off by Third Avenue, investors need to think about the sector as one of those trees. What's out there that we don't see yet and how deep and wide does it go?

One could argue that those under ground tree roots and tentacles are where the money or gold is. Any poison that manages to get into the tree must come for the most part through them. So the tree can appear healthy from the outside, but what's lurking in those hidden roots and tentacles is the most important question.

On that subject is an interesting read from zerohedge.com.

zerohedge.com/news/2015-12-12/eerie-echo-2007-it-really-bear-stearns-all-over-again

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